Wednesday, March 25, 2015

Correlation between Winning Percentage and OBP

This week has been interesting, with Brandon Phillips having some not so smart thoughts on on base percentage. Bob Nightengale of USA Today talked to Phillips about it, and Phillips responded with this:

"I don't do that MLB Network on-base percentage (stuff). That's the new thing now. I feel like all of these stats and all of these geeks upstairs, they're messing up baseball, they're just changing the game. It's all about on-base percentage. If you don't get on base, then you suck. That's basically what they're saying. People don't care about RBI or scoring runs, it's all about getting on base."

Coming from a guy like Phillips this isn't very surprising, but just being around a guy like Joey Votto, you'd think he'd be a little more educated. Now I don't expect players to be into advanced statistics, but they at least understand the value of getting on base.

Well today Jon Morosi over at Fox Sports tweeted this:

Jon's tweet got me thinking. I would assume there is some sort of connection between on base percentage and winning percentage, but just how strong is that correlation? So I decided to crunch the numbers. 

I took the winning percentage of all 30 teams over the past five years (2010-2014). This gave me a decent sample of 150. I did a simple correlation with two different statistics, OBP and wOBA (Weighted on base, which you can read about HERE. Here were the results, in both table form and as a scatter plot

Winning % OBP wOBA
Winning %  1.000
OBP  .535  1.000
wOBA  .547  .908  1.000

Winning Percentage vs. OBP

Winning Percentage vs. wOBA 

As you can see from the scatter plots, there is a pretty strong correlation between winning percentage and both OBP and wOBA, with wOBA being the stronger correlation.

The r value, which describes how strong the correlation is for OBP is .535 while the r value for wOBA is .547.

In general, here is a guide that describes r value and how strong a correlation is (From

If r = +.70 or higher Very strong positive relationship 

+.40 to +.69 Strong positive relationship 

+.30 to +.39 Moderate positive relationship 

+.20 to +.29 weak positive relationship 
+.01 to +.19 No or negligible relationship 
-.01 to -.19 No or negligible relationship 
-.20 to -.29 weak negative relationship 
-.30 to -.39 Moderate negative relationship 
-.40 to -.69 Strong negative relationship 
-.70 or higher Very strong negative relationship

This shows that the correlation is indeed a strong one, like I had originally suspected. Take notes Brandon Phillips, on base percentage is important.

Tuesday, February 24, 2015

Other Top Prospect Compilation Bits

Been asked about what the points looked like and what the rest of this list looked like. Here are some more details about the top prospect compilation.

Here are the top 100 with their point totals

Byron Buxton 497
Kris Bryant 495
Addison Russell 488
Carlos Correa 487
Corey Seager 475
Lucas Giolito 471
Francisco Lindor 468
Julio Urias 464
Joey Gallo 448
Noah Syndergaard 439
Miguel Sano 439
Blake Swihart 434
Tyler Glasnow 431
Joc Pederson 427
Jorge Soler 425
JP Crawford 417
Carlos Rodon 415
Jon Gray 402
Archie Bradley 401
Daniel Norris 401
Dylan Bundy 381
Robert Stephenson 368
Braden Shipley 352
Mark Appel 347
Henry Owens 343
David Dahl 342
Hunter Harvey 324
Jameson Taillon 317
Raul Mondesi 311
Alex Jackson 310
Jesse Winker 309
Alex Meyer 300
Andrew Heaney 293
Aaron Sanchez 289
Jorge Alfaro 274
Luis Severino 269
Dalton Pompey 268
Jose Berrios 268
Aaron Nola 261
Austin Meadows 255
Aaron Judge 254
Eddie Butler 254
Jose Peraza 253
Jake Thompson 251
Kyle Schwarber 249
Nomar Mazara 247
Hunter Renfroe 246
Aaron Blair 245
Eduardo Rodriguez 240
Nick Gordon 226
Tyler Kolek 217
Kohl Stewart 214
Kevin Plawecki 214
Steven Matz 207
Matt Wisler 207
Michael Taylor 202
DJ Peterson 192
Josh Bell 188
Tim Anderson 186
Chi Chi Gonzalez 177
Manuel Margot 168
Sean Newcomb 165
Stephen Piscotty 161
Maikel Franco 159
Marco Gonzales 156
Austin Hedges 155
Kyle Zimmer 152
Reynaldo Lopez 151
Alex Reyes 145
Sean Manaea 145
Brandon Nimmo 143
AJ Cole 133
Brandon Finnegan 131
Daniel Robertson 128
Michael Conforto 124
Rafael Devers 117
Albert Almora 116
Steven Souza 113
Vince Velasquez 112
Mike Folty 110
Kyle Freeland 109
Jeff Hoffman 109
Trea Turner 106
Ozhaino Albies 102
Raimel Tapia 99
Amed Rosario 99
Ryan McMahon 96
CJ Edwards 91
Grant Holmes 89
Orlando Arcia 89
Andrew Susac 87
Franklin Barreto 86
JT Realmuto 85
Reese McGuire 83
Raisel Iglesias 82
Rusney Castillo 80
Dilson Herrera 74
Clint Frazier 69
Justin O'Conner 68
Rio Ruiz 66

Here are the others

101 Miguel Amonte 62
102 Nick Kingham 61
103 Willy Adames 59
104 Lucas Sims 54
105 Michael Lorenzen 51
106 Matt Olson 48
t107 Jake Lamb 44
t107 Yasmany Tomas 44
109 Joe Ross 43
110 Billy McKinney 38
111 Dominic Smith 36
112 Max Fried 35
113 Touki Touissant  33
t114 Nick Williams 30
t114 Domingo Santana 30
116 Colin Moran 28
117 Brett Phillips 25
118 Chance Sisco 23
119 Kyle Crick 22
t120 Greg Bird 21
t120 Alen Hanson 21
t122 Derek Hill 19
t122 Tyrell Jenkins 19
t122 Brian Johnson 19
125 Pierce Johnson 18
t126 Francisco Mejia 17
t126 Brad Zimmer 17
t126 Erick Fedde 17
t126 Brandon Drury 17
130 Rob Kaminsky 16
131 Adalberto Mejia 15
132 Kyle Crick 13
t133 Lewis Thorpe 10
t133 Francelis Montas 10
t135 Christian Bethancourt 8
t135 Spencer Adams 8
t135 Tyrone Taylor 8
t135 Max Pentecost 8
139 Hunter Dozier 6
140 Luis Ortiz 5
141 Marcos Molina 3
142 Nick Burdi 2
t143 Steven Moya 1
t143 Jacob Lindgren 1

Sunday, February 22, 2015

Top Prospect Compilation

Here is a compilation of five of the 2015 top prospect lists (Baseball Prospectus,, Fangraphs, Baseball America, and ESPN (Keith Law).

Rank Player Team Position
1 Byron Buxton Minnesota Twins OF
2 Kris Bryant Chicago Cubs 3B
3 Addison Russell Chicago Cubs SS
4 Carlos Correa Houston Astros SS
5 Corey Seager Los Angeles Dodgers SS
6 Lucas Giolito Washington Nationals RHP
7 Francisco Lindor Cleveland Indians SS
8 Julio Urias Los Angeles Dodgers LHP
9 Joey Gallo Texas Rangers 3B
t10 Noah Syndergaard New York Mets RHP
t10 Miguel Sano Minnesota Twins 3B
12 Blake Swihart Boston Red Sox C
13 Tyler Glasnow Pittsburgh Pirates RHP
14 Joc Pederson Los Angeles Dodgers OF
15 Jorge Soler Chicago Cubs OF
16 JP Crawford Philadelphia Phillies SS
17 Carlos Rodon Chicago White Sox LHP
18 Jon Gray Colorado Rockies RHP
t19 Archie Bradley Arizona Diamondbacks RHP
t19 Daniel Norris Toronto Blue Jays LHP
21 Dylan Bundy Baltimore Orioles RHP
2 Robert Stephenson Cincinnati Reds RHP
23 Braden Shipley Arizona Diamondbacks RHP
24 Mark Appel Houston Astros RHP
25 Henry Owens Boston Red Sox LHP
26 David Dahl Colorado Rockies OF
27 Hunter Harvey Baltimore Orioles RHP
28 Jameson Taillon Pittsburgh Pirates RHP
29 Raul Mondesi Kansas City Royals SS
30 Alex Jackson Seattle Mariners OF
31 Jesse Winker Cincinnati Reds OF
32 Alex Meyer Minnesota Twins RHP
33 Andrew Heaney Los Angeles Angels LHP
34 Aaron Sanchez Toronto Blue Jays RHP
35 Jorge Alfaro Texas Rangers C
36 Luis Severino New York Yankees RHP
t37 Dalton Pompey Toronto Blue Jays OF
t37 Jose Berrios Minnesota Twins RHP
39 Aaron Nola Philadelphia Phillies RHP
40 Austin Meadows Pittsburgh Pirates OF
t41 Aaron Judge New York Yankees OF
t41 Eddie Butler Colorado Rockies RHP
43 Jose Peraza Atlanta Braves 2B
44 Jake Thompson Texas Rangers RHP
45 Kyle Schwarber Chicago Cubs C
46 Nomar Mazara Texas Rangers OF
47 Hunter Renfroe San Diego Padres OF
48 Aaron Blair Arizona Diamondbacks RHP
49 Eduardo Rodriguez Boston Red Sox LHP
50 Nick Gordon Minnesota Twins SS
51 Tyler Kolek Miami Marlins RHP
t52 Kohl Stewart Minnesota Twins RHP
t52 Kevin Plawecki New York Mets C
t54 Steven Matz New York Mets LHP
t54 Matt Wisler San Diego Padres RHP
56 Michael Taylor Washington Nationals OF
57 DJ Peterson Seattle Mariners 1B
58 Josh Bell Pittsburgh Pirates 1B
59 Tim Anderson Chicago White Sox SS
60 Chi Chi Gonzalez Texas Rangers RHP
61 Manuel Margot Boston Red Sox OF
62 Sean Newcomb Los Angeles Angels LHP
63 Stephen Piscotty St. Louis Cardinals OF
64 Maikel Franco Philadelphia Phillies 3B
65 Marco Gonzales St. Louis Cardinals LHP
66 Austin Hedges San Diego Padres C
67 Kyle Zimmer Kansas City Royals RHP
68 Reynaldo Lopez Washington Nationals RHP
t69 Alex Reyes St. Louis Cardinals RHP
t69 Sean Manaea Kansas City Royals LHP
71 Brandon Nimmo New York Mets OF
72 AJ Cole Washington Nationals RHP
73 Brandon Finnegan Kansas City Royals LHP
74 Daniel Robertson Tampa Bay Rays SS
75 Michael Conforto New York Mets OF
76 Rafael Devers Boston Red Sox 3B
77 Albert Almora Chicago Cubs OF
78 Steven Souza Tampa Bay Rays OF
79 Vince Velasquez Houston Astros RHP
80 Mike Folty Atlanta Braves RHP
t81 Kyle Freeland Colorado Rockies LHP
t81 Jeff Hoffman Toronto Blue Jays RHP
83 Trea Turner Washington Nationals SS
84 Ozhaino Albies Atlanta Braves SS
t85 Raimel Tapia Colorado Rockies OF
t85 Amed Rosario New York Mets SS
87 Ryan McMahon Colorado Rockies 3B
88 CJ Edwards Chicago Cubs RHP
t89 Grant Holmes Los Angeles Dodgers RHP
t89 Orlando Arcia Milwaukee Brewers SS
91 Andrew Susac San Francisco Giants C
92 Franklin Barreto Oakland Athletics SS
93 JT Realmuto Miami Marlins C
94 Reese McGuire Pittsburgh Pirates C
95 Raisel Iglesias Cincinnati Reds RHP
96 Rusney Castillo Boston Red Sox OF
97 Dilson Herrera New York Mets 2B
98 Clint Frazier Cleveland Indians OF
99 Justin O'Conner Tampa Bay Rays C
100 Rio Ruiz Atlanta Braves 3B

Here are the breakdowns by position and team

Team #
Arizona Diamondbacks 3
Atlanta Braves 4
Baltimore Orioles 2
Boston Red Sox 6
Chicago Cubs 6
Chicago White Sox 2
Cincinnati Reds 3
Cleveland Indians 2
Colorado Rockies 6
Detroit Tigers 0
Houston Astros 3
Kansas City Royals 4
Los Angeles Angels 2
Los Angeles Dodgers 4
Miami Marlins 2
Milwaukee Brewers 1
Minnesota Twins 6
New York Mets 7
New York Yankees 2
Oakland Athletics 1
Philadelphia Phillies 3
Pittsburgh Pirates 5
San Diego Padres 3
San Francisco Giants 1
Seattle Mariners 2
St. Louis Cardinals 3
Tampa Bay Rays 3
Texas Rangers 5
Toronto Blue Jays 4
Washington Nationals 5

Right Handed Pitcher33
Left Handed Pitcher12
First Base2
Second Base2
Third Base7

Wednesday, April 30, 2014

If I were commissioner for a day

A lot of people think they have all of the solutions to fix the so called problems that baseball has at the moment.  Those problems range from length of games to hall of fame voting to the free agency to many, many others.  Like me, I'm sure that you would all love to be able to implement some changes to the game that we all know and love.  Well I'm taking a crack at it.  Let's say that Major League Baseball allows me for one day to step in and make any changes that I see fit, as long as they positively effect the game.  Well here are my changes:

Implement the DH in the National League

The National League and the American League having different rules, but having the same roster construction is a big problem in baseball.  The ability to simply throw some in the DH role if they can't play defense or if they are getting up their in age is a distinct advantage for the AL when it comes to roster construction.  There is a reason that you have seen the big free agent sluggers land longer and larger deals to play in the AL.  AL teams were able to ink guys like Prince Fielder, Albert Pujols, and Robinson Cano to longer deals because they have the luxury to stick them at DH later in their career.  Then there is a guy like Jose Abreu.  While he was expected to hit, there were big question marks as to what kind of fielder he would be.  This is one of the main reasons that most of his suitors were in the AL.  Until this problem is fixed, the AL has a distinct advantage when it comes to building a roster.  Also, with the increased number of interleague games, it creates problems for both leagues.  When playing in AL parks, NL teams are forced to use bench players as their DH while AL clubs can use their regular DH.  When playing in NL parks, AL teams are forced to have their pitchers hit, which increases the chance of injury for guys that aren't use to hitting or running the bases.  The only solution here is to add the DH to the NL as well and level the playing field for everyone. 

Create a more balanced schedule

I read a great article by Matthew Truebllod over at Arm Side Run ( about how the MLB schedule is preventing many fans from seeing most of the league's players.  More hardcore fans often have or some sort of package like Extra Innings so they are able to watch more games, but the casual fan usually only watches what is on their television or whomever comes to their home park.  The current schedule, with the extreme amount of intradivisional games, doesn't allow for the casual fan to see all of the league's talent.  Matt uses Andrew McCutchen as an example, showing that in his 2013 MVP winning season, Cutch played 115 of the 157 games he played in NL Central parks.  That means he only played 42 games of an 162 game season in parks that were not in the NL Central.  This lack of exposure is really hurting the game.  This is why baseball should go to a schedule to what the NHL implemented this year.  Each teams plays a home and home with every team in the league.  The remaining games would be played against divisional opponents.  While this might require more 2 game series and subsequently more travel, it would greatly improve the exposure of the league.  Fans would get a chance to see all of their star players come through their home park every year.  The schedule would look something like this, using the Cubs as an example.

4 games (2 home and 2 away) vs. all of the AL teams=60 games
6 games (3 home and 3 away) vs. all other NL teams outside of the Central-60 games
Final 42 games (5 or 6 home and 5 or 6 away) against remaining 4 NL Central opponents

This schedule might be a little more difficult logistically, but I believe it would great help the league as a whole.  It could obviously use some tweaking and this is just a very basic look at things, but that's my suggestion.

Fix the Hall of Fame voting

The Hall of Fame is a museum showcasing the best things Major League Baseball.  The steroid era is one that not only existed in baseball history, but it also brought back baseball in 1998 with the home run race.  This is why there should be nothing keeping guys linked to steroids out of the Hall of Fame.  While I'm the least certain of how to fix the voting problem, I believe numbers are the answer.  Jay Jaffe has created JAWS, which is a numbers based system to decide who should be in the Hall of Fame.  The Players Union and the league, in partnership with Cooperstown should come up with some sort of system similar to JAWS to get players into the Hall.  There is no reason that guys like Barry Bonds, Pete Rose, Roger Clemens, and many more absolutely deserve to be enshrined among baseball's greats.

Fixing the length of games problems

I for one have no issue with the length of games.  The longer I can be watching baseball, the better.  However, this is a serious problem for the baseball's ability to attract and keep the casual fan.  I have a couple solutions that might potentially fix this problem.  The first is very simple, force batters to stay in the batter's box in between pitches, similar to in high school. This is basic, but some guys take FOREVER in between pitches messing with their batting gloves, adjusting their jock, etc.  All of this is incredibly unnecessary and adds minutes to games.  The second solution is to limit the number of mound visits per inning game.  There will no longer be any mound visits by a coach unless he is removing a pitcher.  Coach visits are 99% of the time useless and are nothing more than a coach giving a brief pep talk to his pitcher, which most of the time the pitcher doesn't pay attention to anyways.  In addition to coach visits, defensive players will not be allowed to visit the mound either.  If the players want to talk defensive positioning or strategy, they can do it through hand signals or however they want to.  Hell, allow the bench coach to hold up signs in the dugout like college football players signaling in plays.  I really don't care how they do it, but there are much faster ways than coming to talk to the pitcher multiple times per inning.

Wednesday, March 5, 2014

Updated Prospect List

Well Spring is here and players have reported to Spring Training (Although it's currently 20 degrees and snowing heavily here in Chicago).  With the season fast approaching, all of the prospect rankers have released their annual top prospect lists.  With all of the lists out, I have updated my top prospect list, which is a compilation of Baseball Prospectus,, Scout, ESPN, Fangraphs, and Baseball America.  

A couple of notes about the list.  Scout didn't rank several players who are expected to start in the big leagues (Xander Bogaerts, Nick Castellanos, Travis d'Arnaud, Jackie Bradley Jr., Billy Hamilton, Kolten Wong, and Matt Davidson), so for their point total for Scout, I simply took an average of all of the other rankings.  Baseball America ranked 3 players that no other list did (Masahiro Tanaka, Jose Abreu, and Carlos Martinez), so I just skipped over them and continued the list when awarding my point totals.

Without further ado, here is your list of top prospects, according to all of the prospect rankers:

1. Byron Buxton
2. Xander Bogaerts
3. Oscar Taveras
4. Carlos Correa
5. Javier Baez
6. Archie Bradley
7. Addison Russell
8. Francisco Lindor
9. Miguel Sano
10. Taijuan Walker
11. Kris Bryant
12. Gregory Polanco
13. Jonathan Gray
14. Noah Syndergaard
15. George Springer
16. Dylan Bundy
17. Kevin Gausman
18. Mark Appel
19. Kyle Zimmer
20-t. Lucas Giolito
20-t. Robert Stephenson
22-t. Albert Almora
22-t. Jameson Taillon
24. Eddie Butler
25. Austin Hedges
26. Nick Castellanos
27. Yordano Ventura
28. Aaron Sanchez
29. Corey Seager
30. Andrew Heaney
31. Tyler Glasnow
32. Raul Mondesi
33. Maikel Franco
34. Travis D'Arnaud
35. Alex Meyer
36. Jackie Bradley
37. Kyle Crick
38. Joc Pederson
39. Clint Frazier
40. Jorge Soler
41. Henry Owens
42. Julio Urias
43. Lucas Sims
44. Marcus Stroman
45. Max Fried
46. Billy Hamilton
47-t. Kohl Stewart
47-t. Rougned Odor
49. Matt Wisler 
50. Jorge Alfaro
51. Eduardo Rodriguez
52. Austin Meadows
53. Mike Foltynewicz
54. CJ Edwards
55. Braden Shipley
56. Garin Cecchini
57. Colin Moran
58. Gary Sanchez
59. Chris Owings
60. Kolten Wong
61. Erik Johnson
62. Jonathan Singleton
63. David Dahl
64. Blake Swihart
65. Mookie Betts
66. Hunter Harvey
67. AJ Cole
68. Jesse Biddle
69. JP Crawford
70. Stephen Piscotty
71. Eddie Rosario
72. Zach Lee
73. Nick Kingham
74. Alen Hanson
75. Miguel Almonte
76. Matt Davidson
77. DJ Peterson
78. Christian Bethancourt
79-t. Arismendy Alcantara
79-t. Reese McGruire
81. Dominic Smith
82. Rafael Montero
83. Allen Webster
84. Lance McCullers 
85. Jake Marisnick
86. Jake Odorizzi
87. Rosell Herrera
88. Taylor Guerrieri 
89. Jonathan Schoop
90-t. Phillip Ervin
90-t. James Paxton
92. Hak-Ju Lee
93. Edwin Escobar
94. Josh Bell
95. Matt Barnes
96-t. Justin Nicolino
96-t. Pierce Johnson
98. Luis Sardinas
99. Joey Gallo
100. Delino Deshields

There is your top 100!!  Here are the guys who just missed the cut, in order of how many points they received:

Michael Choice
Vincent Velasquez
Jorge Bonifacio
Josmil Pinto
Jose Berrios
Trevor Bauer
Mason Williams
Hunter Dozier
Brian Goodwin
Trey Ball
Sean Manaea
Jimmy Nelson
Chi Chi Gonzalez
Wilmer Flores
Hunter Renfroe
Alberto Tirado
Casey Kelly
Enny Romero
Dan Vogelbach
Alex Gonzalez
Nick Williams
Devon Travis
Tyler Austin
Alex Colome
Chris Anderson
Mauricio Cabrera
Marcus Semien
Brandon Nimmo
Roberto Osuna
Taylor Lindsey
Tim Anderson
Jesse Hahn
Nick Ciuffo
Raimel Tapia
Alexander Reyes
Robbie Ray
Jose Ramirez
Rob Kaminsky
Jose Peraza
Louis Thorpe
Mitch Nay

Tuesday, February 11, 2014

Houston Astros

2013: 51-111 
2012 Season Recap
2013 Season Preview

Houston's inaugural season in the American League ended about as well as their last season in the National last place.  We told you that the 2013 version could literally go no where but up...

Then Houston promptly goes out and proves us wrong by somehow finishing last year worst than their just as woeful 2012.  How bad was it?  A game in September drew a 0.0 rating in the Houston area, which means that there was no statistical way that Nielsen could prove that anyone actually watched the game.  Nielsen stats were probably unnecessary too since the only way to catch an Astros game in Houston is if you happen to be a Comcast subscriber.  It was a pretty bad 2013 in Space City.  

Et tu, Olympics? 
But that doesn't mean that all hope is lost. The biggest moves and improvement that the Astros made weren't as much on the field as in the General Manager's office.  In the time since taking over their reins of the front office in late 2011, GM Jeff Luhnow has built up the Astros farm system to arguably a top five organization.  

What Houston found out the hard way is that being perennially awful also leads to high draft picks. The Astros top five prospects are all former first round picks including the top picks from 2012 (SS Carlos Correa) and 2013 (RHP Mark Appel).

Those picks with a new collective bargaining agreement that provides significant advantages to teams with lower records allowed Luhnow to make shrewd signings for prospects like Lance McCullers Jr. and Rio Ruiz along with trades for guys like Jonathan Singleton, Asher Wojciechowski, and Domingo Santana.  The future for Houston is looking up.    

In the meantime, who's left to compete in Minute Maid Park until the kids are ready is the remnants of a complete overhaul and dismantling of anything that resembled a Major League team from the previous ownership/management.  That's not to say there isn't any fresh, young, talent in the Big Leagues.  Top pitching prospects Jarred Cosart and Brett Oberholtzer made the ascent to Space City during last season, landed in the rotation, stayed there, and showed flashes of their potential along with occasional brilliance.

Catcher Jason Castro established himself as a bona fide major leaguer as the Astros lone ASG representative; mighty midget 2B Jose Altuve is only 23

The offseason brought in veterans like OF Dexter Fowler to help bring youngsters like J.D. Martinez, Robbie Grossman and L.J. Hoes along.  Perennial journeyman/midseason trade bait Scott Feldman brings his veteran presence along with a friendly contract to the rotations to help increase his trade value as much as possible before the deadline provide his veteran leadership to the young throwers.  In the bullpen, vets Chad Qualls and Matt Albers were signed along with a trade for Anthony Bass to join an injured-but-recovering Jesse Crain to stop-the-bleeding-as-much-as-possible if the starters run into trouble (or try to hold on for dear life if they somehow are provided with a lead).


1.  Can this team possible be any worse than last year's squad?  (hint: the answer is NO)

2.  If the answer to Question 1 is "no", how much better can this team be from last year (hint: the answer is "not a lot.")

3.  So if you guys have already spoiled, questions #1 and #2, what other questions are there?  

4 - 10: How good can prospect ________________ be and when will we see him in Houston?

(answers for #4 - #10: pick any of the following)  


X.  Dexter Fowler: the spark the Astros need or just another Coors Field hitter?
X.  Will Scott Feldman be gone by the trade deadline?
X.  Can Jesse Crain be healthy enough to be another trade chip too?
X.  Who will the Astros draft with their 3rd consecutive #1 overall pick in the draft?
X.  Will anyone be able to watch them?

Any of these above prospects have the talent and potential to be in the Big Leagues by the end of this year.  With the growing trend of teams not being afraid to push youngsters to reach The Show when they're still legally unable to rent a car, you can probably expect to see some of these guys in Minute Maid Park by the end of the year.
Hey, trust me Houston fans.  I feel your pain.  I know what it's like to support a losing baseball team.  I am a Tiger's fan that had to watch my team from literally the entire 1990s and early 2000s suck really, really, hard.  We lost 119 games one year.  Even the Astros haven't done that.  But every summer, we'd still hit up the park.  Tickets were cheap, food was cheap, and you got to see future stars before they were famous.

It was disheartening to see the poor attendance and overall lack of enthusiasm for the home team living in Houston last year (outside of a few die-hards, whose sarcasm and honest-till-it-hurts-analysis makes me respect the loyal Astros fans) .  I can't say that I blame the fans but trust me...this will be an exciting team in the near future and the future for many of these exciting young players is now.

Watch the dynamic, youthful talent in Houston and support your home team and do it this year before the team gets competitive, tickets get expensive, and everyone you hate jumps on the bandwagon faster than a Texans playoff season.  You'll be happy you did.